Key Points:
- Neutral Ukraine: Ukraine foregoes NATO membership but joins the EU immediately, focusing on economic integration instead of military alliances. Ukraine joins free movement with EU, eventually Schengen zone.
- Energy Revival: Europe rebuilds Nord Stream pipelines and resumes energy purchases from Russia. Russia must provide as much energy Europe wants to buy and the price must be below international market price.
- Reparations & Rebuilding: Russia pays Ukraine a significant commission (15%? 20%?) on all European energy sales. The EU guarantees these funds are used transparently for Ukrainian infrastructure and rebuilding, with any surplus directly distributed to citizens. Large-scale public projects would be decided by Ukrainian referendums.
- Demilitarization: Ukraine dismantles its army permanently.
- Territorial Settlement: Russia withdraws from all occupied Ukrainian territories. Disputed regions become independent with residents choosing Ukrainian, Russian, or dual citizenship. Free movement and trade are guaranteed. These regions can vote on their status every five years under international supervision. All mineral mining in these conflicted regions would be managed by Russia and share of these profits paid to Ukraine in same 15-20% commission as all other Russian energy sales to Europe.
Potential Benefits: - Ends the War: Offers a path to immediate ceasefire and Russian withdrawal.
- Economic Focus: Prioritizes economic recovery and cooperation over military solutions.
- Direct Citizen Benefit: Ensures reparations directly benefit the Ukrainian people.
- Self-Determination: Allows disputed regions to decide their own future.
Potential Challenges: - Ukrainian Security: Raises concerns about Ukraine’s security without an army, relying heavily on international guarantees.
- EU & NATO Dynamics: May create tensions within the EU and NATO regarding Russia relations.
- Enforcing Transparency: Requires robust mechanisms to prevent corruption and ensure funds are used as intended.
- Public Acceptance: Needs strong support from both Ukrainian and Russian populations.
This plan presents a bold vision for peace, but its success hinges on overcoming significant political and logistical hurdles.
The US must adopt a policy of strict non-intervention in Ukraine, ensuring no military personnel, equipment, or weapons systems are deployed to or near the region, any and all Ukrainian debt to the US be cancelled, and any and all US investments into Ukraine also be cancelled. The US must not be allowed to invest in Ukraine, only EU can participate in Ukraine but there needs to be supervision to verify that the EU does not interfere in Ukrainian investment projects on behalf of any US connected interest.